Friday, July 22, 2005

Two words on the Market Trend

Long and Short have little in common:

Long for the bulls:
  • Long capital gains are cumulative and unlimited
  • State signals (entry points) are valid for long periods based on the triptych (market/fund – GICS sector – security)
  • Handling positions for big gains requires a strong hand and to keep posture while tuning exposure during overbought / oversold episodes (Slow dynamic with stressing corrections)
Short for the bears:
  • Short capital gains are limited in nature and erosive
  • Opportunity signal (linked to volatility) with short term validity
  • Make use of successive falling windows acting as a means to re-initialise positions and potential gains
  • Take advantage of a fast dynamic which is reset and rearmed through pullbacks and successive windows

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